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The risks put those tasks on a probabilistic critical path with an associated probability.
The structure of scientific explanation: deductive and probabilistic explanation.
Maps of probabilistic risk give an idea of the underlying statistical uncertainty, as is done in calculating insurance risk.
Indeed, agent causation is consistent with its being the case that probabilistic laws of nature apply as thoroughly to human beings and their behavior as such laws apply to anything else.
It is interesting that the probabilistic model is a model not of a physical phenomenon, but of another piece of mathematics.
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